Saturday, 31 May 2025

Post #290 31 May 2025

 Gentlefolk,

This post describes our main activities during the month of  May 2025.


The contents of this post are in the following sequence:

Photos of our activities during May 2025.

News items which caught my eye in May 2025. 

A summary by MSNBC of key actions by President Trump during May 2025 (frightening but fascinating!). 

International Trade contains graphs from 1 to 10 May 2025 (on 10 May Bloomberg converted to paid subscriptions ($299 pa) which I didn't join. To keep this segment going, I will try to obtain graphs from other Bloomberg sources in future.


Highlights of  May 2025

We had Mother's Day lunch with Jen & Tom and the boys in Brisbane.

The Australian Labor Party was returned with an increased majority at the general election held on 3 May 2025 (unexpected!).



Herewith photos of some of our activities in May 2025:



A general election was held on Saturday 3 May 2025. Vera & I voted early, as did about 8 million others around Australia (out of about 18M voters).This was the polling place at the Baringa Community Centre on election day morning - surprisingly quiet. 

We watched the election night TV coverage with friends Ruth and Tim Buick. 



At about 8.30pm election specialist Antony Greene predicted a Labor victory; by 10pm the result was clear and Anthony Albanese made a victory speech. Most polls and commentators thought it would be pretty close, but there was a 3% swing to Labor which gave them a big majority.
At the end of May, House of Representatives: ALP 94, Coalition 43, Greens 1, Others 11 (recount taking place in one seat). Senate: ALP 28, Coalition 27, Greens 11, Other 10.
Two Party leaders lost their seats: Peter Dutton (Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition), and Adam Bandt (leader of the Greens).


Winner are grinners - Albo and Labor back for another 3 years!



Our neighbour, Attila, inspecting the gutters. 

Some dirt and dust in the gutters, but not too bad.



"Musical Bingo" night in the Clubhouse. A fun night.


Foxtailers at Musical Bingo, from left: Linda, Vera, Robyn, Peter and Theresa.


Vera and I dressed up (a little) for Musical Bingo.



We had lunch with Laura at "her" restaurant (she is assistant manager) in Noosa Junction - yummy food.



Beautiful day on Noosa Beach.


Many nice beaches driving back along the coast from Noosa to Caloundra. This is the beach at Coolum. 






The LNP MP for Caloundra in the Qld Parliament, Kendall Morton, gave a talk at our Village. Interesting background: she brought up 4 boys, and had a company providing aged care services. Joined the LNP 10 years ago. Won this seat at the 2024 State election.
She said that "traffic" was the issue of most concern, particularly Caloundra Road.  The infrastructure has not kept up with growth - there are 30 new houses being occupied per week just in the AURA development - and there are often traffic delays.
 



Former Trade personnel get together twice a year in Brisbane, organised by Cheryl Stanilewicz and Sally Phillips. I attended the reunion lunch held on 21 May at Tattersalls Club on Queens St. I didn't know many of those who joined Austrade in the 1990s and later, but it was good to see a number of "Old Timers" going back to the Dept of Trade era, including Graham McHugh, Rob O'Donovan, Nick Smit, and David Knapton. 





The "Biggest Morning Tea" is held around Australia to raise funds for cancer research - our Village raised $7,000!!! 


Vera and Fran at the Biggest Morning Tea.


Freddie Mercury / Queen show at the Caloundra Events Centre. Fun night.



Mother's Day lunch in Brisbane with family; from left: Vera, me, Jen, Kurt, Sid, Nate, and Tom.



Two wonderful mothers, Vera & Jen.




Jen & Tom with the boys. Kurt (almost 20) is doing an electrical apprenticeship, Nate (18) has a rugby scholarship with Arkansas State University and will be leaving for the States in August, Sid (16) is in Year 11 at Marist College Ashgrove.




Proud grandparents with daughter Jen and grandsons.






We watched Sid play rugby for the Marist 5th school team - they beat Vilanova 74 - 0! Sid played 5/8 and did the kicking. He is a talented sportsman.


Two former students at Canberra Grammar, now with sons at Marist Ashgrove.


Friends Bron & Daz came for lunch (from Maleny).



Farewell to Greg Guilford and welcome to Carly Lebret, our new Community Manager.


First time I have seen dog food available from a vending machine.


Our Village has Trivia on Monday nights. On 26/5 our team ('The Boyz') was the winner. Left to right: Greg, Lindsay, Russell, me, Mick, Bill, and Barry.



Watching the first State of Origin Rugby League game on 28/5.  It's always a great spectacle.The NSW Blues 18 beat the Qld Maroons 6 (4 tries to one), a very good effort to win in Brisbane.
Most of the Village residents are Qld supporters - not happy!



The Blues captain Isaah Yeo being interviewed after the first SoO game. They play 3 games, so the 2025 series is still alive. Traditionally Qld has won more Origin series (24) than NSW (17),  and two series were drawn.



......

News items which caught my eye in May 2025.

($ are US dollars unless otherwise shown)

Global

 

Vatican: 133 Cardinals elected American Robert Prevost (69) as the new Pope. He took the name Pope Leo 14th.

Turkey: hundreds of demonstrators arrested in anti-govt protests in Istanbul.

UK: David Attenborough (99) released a new film “Ocean”. Temperature in London on 1 May reached 29.3C, the hottest start to May since records started. The UK agreed to pay Mauritius $150M pa to continue to lease the Diego Garcia military base. Liverpool FC won the Premier League; during the victory parade a man drove his car into the crowd, many injured.

UK / EU: agreement signed on closer economic and social relations, first after 2020 Brexit.

F1: Australian Oscar Piastri (24) has won 4 F1 Grand Prix races so far in 2025: China, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, USA (Miami). He came 3rd in Monaco in May (behind Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc).

Brazil: an estimated 2M attended Lady Gaga’s free concert on Copacabana Beach.

Snooker: Zhao Xin Tong (28) beat Mark Williams to win the World Snooker Championship in Sheffield.

India/Pakistan: Tit-for-tat attacks following the killing of 25 Indian tourists in Kashmir; ceasefire agreed 10 May to calm tensions.

Yemen: the Houthis and USA agreed to stop attacks.

The Philippines: tensions between President Bongbong Marco and VP Sara Duterte.

France: Actor Gerard Depardieu found guilty of sexual assault – given 12 month suspended sentence.

High-speed railways: Currently China has 48K km, Europe 9K km, Japan 3K km. Two lines under construction in USA: Las Vegas to LA and SF to LA.

Canada: King Charles and Queen Camilla visited Ottawa towards the end of May, where the King opened the new session of Parliament.

 

Israel – Hamas & Hezbollah

The IDF started a new offensive in Gaza, hundreds killed. Aid blockade continued, UN warned of mass starvation in Gaza.

USA suggests Gaza aid should be run by private companies.

Hamas freed US-Israeli citizen Edan Alexander (21) after 19 months captivity.

19/5 Israel announced limited access of food aid into Gaza, after blockade of 11 weeks; widespread starvation, many countries criticized Israel for ongoing attacks in Gaza and food restricitons.

 

Russian invasion of Ukraine

The USA and Ukraine signed an agreement to jointly develop Ukraine’s natural resource (including rare earths) through the establishment of a “Reconstruction Investment Fund”.

Ukrainian drones attacked targets in Moscow.

European leaders met Zelensky in Kyiv and called on Russia to agree to an immediate ceasefire. Ukraine/Russian Officials met in Turkey, but little progress.

To Trump’s dismay, Russia continued aerial attacks missiles and drones, 80% shot down by Ukraine.

 

USA

 

President Trump continued to dominate the media. Whirlwind. Some key actions noted here, others as detailed by MSNBC follow below.

US GDP shrank by an estimated 0.3% in the first 3 months of 2025; Trump blamed Biden.

The USA and China agreed to reduce tariffs by 115% each, to 30% and 10% respectively, and hold those rates for 90 days. (Trump realized that his 145% tariff on Chinese imports was having a catastrophic impact on American supply lines).

Trump hailed the new USA / UK trade ‘deal’, the first of many being negotiated following his imposition of high ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on 2 April (which he dubbed ‘Independence Day’). In reality, USA/UK trade is relatively small, and the US has a surplus anyway.

The US ended zero import duties on shipments valued at less than $800; will affect companies such as Temu and Shein.

Trump threatened a 100% tariff on movies not made in the USA.

Trump called for free passage for American ships in Panama Canal and Suez Canal.

Trump will impose a $50 per tonne levy on cargoes carried in Chinese ships which use US ports. Spot rates on shipping containers from China to USA at about $2,500 are more than 25% lower than last year.

Trump moved Mike Waltz from National Security Advisor to US Ambassador to the UN. Marco Rubio acting NSA.

DHS asked Pentagon to provide 20,000 soldiers from the National Guard to help deportation effort.

The US Supreme Court upheld Trump’s ban on transgender in the military.

Trump signed an Executive Order to force pharmaceutical companies to reduce prices.

Trump continued to attack Harvard by barring them from enrolling foreign students (normally around 30% of total); Harvard immediately lodged a court appeal.

Trump gave white South African farmers refugee status, claiming they suffer discrimination; first group of 59 arrived in USA. Later Trump “ambushed” the President of South Africa Cyril Ramaphosa who had come to the White House to discuss trade.

Trump visited Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE, many announcements: trade and investment deals; accepted present from Qatar of “flying palace” a luxury 747; lifted sanctions on Syria; ended strikes on Houthis; continued nuclear negotiations with Iran.

Trump’s “big, beautiful tax bill” passed the HoR by one vote; referred on to the Senate. Many commentators said it would add trillions to US govt debt of around $37T. Yield on Treasury bonds passed 5%.

Trump announced the military will build a “golden dome” defence system against missile attack; initial allocation $175B.

Warren Buffet (94), Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway announced his retirement. The shares have increased an incredible 5.5M% from when he took over in 1964. The group has 390,000 employees.

Mary Barra, CEO of GM, expects the proposed tariffs to add about $5B to operating costs.

Elon Musk said that DOGE has made cuts totaling about $160B so far. He will now step back from DOGE, to focus more on Tesla and SpaceX. Trump farewelled him in the Oval Office on 31/5.

McDonalds reported a drop of 3.6% in sales in last quarter.

Moody’s joined Fitch and S&P in downgrading USA credit rating to Aa1, due to high debt levels and rising interest payments.

Former President Biden was diagnosed with prostate cancer.

On 31 May, at a US Steel plant, Trump announced that the tariff rate on imports of steel will increase from 25% to 50% from 4 June.

 

Australia

The General Election was held on 3 May. An estimated 8M voted early (out of about 18M). HoR Results with 91% of votes counted: ALP 94, L/NP 43, Greens 1, Other 11, one seat still undecided. Two leaders, Peter Dutton (Liberals) and Adam Bandt (Greens) lost their seats. Senate: Labor 28, Coalition 27, Greens 11, One Nation 4, Other 6.

Australia is one of 13 countries which have compulsory voting; there is a small fine if a person does not vote. But even so not everyone votes. The turnout rate for the 2025 election was 91% (ie 91% of those eligible to vote, actually voted); 5.5% of ballots papers were 'informal' - either blank or incorrectly completed. 

The new PM & Ministry were sworn in by Governor General Sam Mostyn on 13 May. Former ministers Mark Dreyfus and Ed Husic were replaced on factional grounds.

Sussan Ley beat Angus Taylor 29-25 to become the first female leader of the Parliamentary Liberal Party. Ted O’Brien is Deputy Leader.

The National Party decided to leave the Coalition (the Liberal Party and the National Party have usually formed a conservative coalition), but changed its mind a week later.

PM Albanese’s first overseas visit was to Indonesia; then on to the Vatican for Pope Leo’s first mass.

Huge floods in NSW – more than 800 homes inundated, many livestock losses.

Healthscope, Australia’s 2nd largest private hospital group (37), went into receivership. Canadian investment company Brookfield bought Healthscope in 2019 for A$5.7B. 50% of hospitals in Aust are private, of which 62% are for-profit.

 

 

 MSNBC Trump's key actions in week to 6 May 2025

Here are some highlights from the last seven days:

Proposed reopening and expanding the notorious Alcatraz prison in San Francisco Bay, which experts said would be extraordinarily expensive.

Repeatedly defended tariffs by arguing that little girls would be happy with fewer and more expensive dolls.

Posted AI-generated images of himself on social media dressed in white papal vestments and holding a red light saber (preferred by villains in “Star Wars”).

Said “I don’t know” when asked if the Constitution guarantees everyone due process and if he has a duty to “uphold the Constitution.”

Appeared to have fueled a backlash to Australian conservatives, which followed Canada in electing a Trump-skeptical prime minister.

 

MSNBC  Trump's key actions in the week to 14 May 2025

Trump shifted his focus to foreign policy over the last week.

Apart from weighing in on conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, the president also made news with his first state visit and a controversial potential deal.

Here are some highlights from the last seven days:

Left for a trip to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, the first state visit of his second term.

Prepared to accept a superluxury Boeing 707-8 jumbo jet from the royal family of Qatar, according to four sources familiar with the planning.

Signed an executive order to tie some drug prices the federal government buys to the price other developed countries pay.

Paused most tariffs and trade barriers against China for 90 days after saying that the two countries had made an agreement: the US and China both reduced tariff rates by 115% to 30% on imports from China, 10% on imports from the USA into China. Boeing sales to restart.

Said that the White House is “actively looking” at suspending the writ of habeas corpus, per an interview with Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller.

 

MSNBC Trump's key actions in the week to 20 May 2025

Trump made incremental progress on his agenda this week.

After returning from his first overseas trip of his second term, the president chipped away at his goal of remaking the federal government and cutting taxes.

Here are some highlights from the last seven days:

Signed a bill that aims to stop explicit images posted online without the subject’s consent, including deepfakes.

Reportedly disbanded an FBI squad that handles investigations into members of Congress and fraud by federal employees.

Spoke with Russian leader Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy by phone in an attempt to make progress toward a ceasefire.

Blamed Democrats for Moody’s downgrading the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, even though Republicans control the government.

Called Bruce Springsteen a “dried out ‘prune’” and called for an investigation into him after the musician criticized him on tour.

 

MSNBC Trump's key actions in the week to 27 May 2025

Here are some highlights of the president’s actions over the last seven days:

Signed an executive order aimed at speeding up the construction of domestic nuclear power plants.

Presented misrepresented evidence of a “white genocide” in an unusually tense Oval Office meeting with the president of South Africa.

Sought to block Harvard from enrolling foreign students as part of an escalating feud with the college, but was blocked by a judge.

Hosted a dinner at a Trump-owned property in Virginia for the top investors in his meme coin cryptocurrency.

Gave a meandering commencement speech at West Point that included his advice to not marry “trophy wives.”

  ......


INTERNATIONAL TRADE


My 30 year career as an Australian Trade Commissioner gave me an interest in matters related to international trade.  I subscribed to Bloomberg's excellent daily newsletter "Supply Lines".  

Here are some of the interesting graphs in the Bloomberg newsletter during early May 2025; they are self-explanatory.

As of 10 May 2025 Bloomberg converted this newsletter to paid subscribers only (US$299 pa), so I stopped receiving it.  But I will try to get graphs from other Bloomberg newsletters - let's see.

In the meantime, herewith some graphs from May 2025.



























......


With the official start of winter (June - August) around the corner, temperatures have been cooling down south: Tasmania, Victoria, ACT and parts of NSW. Canberra has been recording minimums around 0C for some time. Finally the cooler weather caught up with us in SE Queensland: on 28 May I wore jeans and a sweater for the first time in our 7 months here.

But it's all relative: minimums here might get down to 6 or 7C, but the days as still pleasant with maximums in the low-20sC.

We are looking forward to our tour of Sri Lanka (10 - 24 June). I'll report on our trip in my June blog, which might be posted a bit later than usual.

Best wishes, stay healthy and keep smiling.

Vera & Alex Olah
Caloundra, Qld Australia
Saturday 31 May 2025

























Wednesday, 30 April 2025

Post #289 30 April 2025

Gentlefolk,

This post describes our main activities during the month of April 2025.


The contents of this post are in the following sequence:

Photos of our activities during April 2025.

News items which caught my eye in April 2025. 

An overview by MSNBC of key actions by President Trump in his first 100 days in the White House (frightening but fascinating!). Just think, Trump has only just started - still 3 years 9 months to go!

International Trade (Bloomberg will restrict this newsletter to paid subscribers ($299 pa) from 10 May 2025, so this will likely be the last inclusion in my blog).

Highlights of April 2025

Domestically, the highlight was the family get-together over Easter at Cabarita Beach.  Jen & family came from Brisbane, Andrew and family from Sydney. Paul & Niniek also came from Sydney, as did David & Kath Everingham and kids.

We celebrated Vera's 80th birthday (again). 

With Andrew & Caz & kids heading to London and Nate to the USA, both in August 2025, this was probably the last time our immediate family will be together - very special.

Internationally, the media in April continued to be dominated by President Trump. He declared April 2 as "Independence Day", when announcing his tariff policies which, he said, would totally restructure  the economy and Make America Great Again. Unfortunately (for him) most experts and investors did not share his confidence - stock markets tanked and by the end of the month Trump had reversed or amended most of his initial actions. 

According to polls, Trump's approval rating on 29 April (the 100th day of his administration) was about 37%, the lowest of any President in the last 8 decades after their first 100 days.
 



Herewith photos of some of our activities in April 2025:



Shana and Greg Mills visited the Sunshine Coast.



It was a rainy day, so we visited the Sea Life aquarium in Mooloolaba.


We had lunch at the popular Rice Boi restaurant.



The Indonesian Christian community Oikumena held a pre-Easter service. 



The lovely choir of the Indonesian Christian community. The service was followed by a delicious lunch of Indonesian dishes.



For Xmas, Jen & Andrew gave us tickets to the "Kings of Country Rock" concert at the Caloundra Events Centre. The first half was Eagles songs, and the second half Credence. A terrific band,


 

Diane and Tom Noetel popped in. They live on the Gold Coast. Tom & I grew up in the same street in Cooma. They recently returned from skiing in Japan. 



Me with the Boland familyL John, Mary, Peter and his wife Bambi. It was John's 75th birthday and we celebrated at his Village on Bribie Island.  Another family from Cooma days back in the 1950s & 60s.



John Boland and his wife Maria are members of a Celtic music band which entertained the guests. John has experienced many serious health issues, but he always bounces back and is remarkably positive. 




A local singer, Mark Tabone, entertained the residents of our Village. A fun night of music and dancing.



Another good book by Jeffrey Archer, master story-teller. Detective Chief Inspector William Warwick of Scotland Yard
finally manages to arrest Miles Faulkner, criminal mastermind.



The apatment hotel at Cabarita Beach where we stayed over Easter 16 - 21 April. 






Many lovely beaches along this coast.



Sid, Andrew & Caz.



Andrew got tickets for the Byron Bay Blues Fest.





It was crowded at the Blues Fest.



Our favourite Blues entertainer was 26 year old Christone "Kingfish" Ingram from Mississippi.



A terrific performer.



Tom, Nate and Andrew fishing at Hzstings Point.




Nate and Sid taught Jay Jay how to fish.



Nate and Eddie.



Some of the group, left to right: Kath, Tom, David, Paul, JJ, Miles, Niniek, Bea, Kurt, Eddie, Sid.



Jen and Andrew spoke about Vera.




To commemorate her 80th birthday, Jen and Andrew presented Vera with a wonderful photo book.

 

The back cover of the photo book featured a photo of Vera and me at Sambolo Beach in 1989.




Jen asked friends to descibe Vera: so many nice descriptors - she is such a special person who has touched many over the years. We couldn't have asked for a better mother, wife and friend.





Jen and Andrew arranged lunch for everyone at this restaurant  Shana and Greg Mills and Simone and Marty Roberts joined us too. It was a great venue and a memorable afternoon. Thanks!!!



A view of the pool from the Spice Den restaurant. The venue had a Balinese atmosphere - made us feel right at home!



Vera with Jen and Andrew - we are truly blessed to have such wonderful kids, grandkids and friends.



Vera, Shana and Niniek.



Vera blowing out candles on the birthday cake, watched by Jen, Simone and Shana.




All the gang: Jen & Tom & Kurt, Nate & Sid, Andrew & Caz & Eddie & Jay, David & Kath & Bea & Miles, Paul & Niniek, Marty & Simone & Francesca & Isaac, Greg & Shana, Vera & me.




Us, with Jen and Andrew - we are blessed tohave such great kids.



The younger kids enjoyed an Easter egg hunt on Sunday morning in front of the hotel.



We had lunch in Surfers with Lia and Bruce Timbs.  Old friends - Paul & Niniek knew them in Jakarta and we met them in Canberra. Lia and Bruce moved to the Gold Coast (where Bruce grew up) about 20 years ago.



Kurt took Andrew & family at Coolangatta Airport on Monday mornign for their flight to Sydney - the end of a memorable 5 days together.



Vera & Niniek in front of a beautiful Golden Panda tree. 





On our drive back to Caloundra, we stopped at Gaven to say hello to old Canberra friend Hugo Hofgartner and his sister Hildegard who was visiting from Germany.



The "official party" at the ANZAC Day ceremony in the village Clubhouse. 






Charles and Nikki Yu visited us - with Charles' parents from Qingdao, China. Charles was a student of mine when I taught English at the China University of Petroleum; he moved to Australia and they now happily settled in Brisbane where Charles has a job as an engineer and Nikki works in childcare.



Vera with Sismani, they were classmates at Teachers College in Jogja in the 1960s. Sismani now lives in Nambour, about 40 mins from us.




The Social Club organsied a band to perform in the Clubhouse - good music & dancing =, great fun.


......

 

News items which caught my eye in April 2025.

($ are US dollars unless otherwise shown)

Global

 

Hungary: withdrew from the International Criminal Court, to facilitate visit by Israeli PM Netanyahu.

India: Parliament passed law restricting Muslim property ownership.

France: Marine Le Pen, leader of right-wing National Rally, was found guilty of embezzling party funds and banned from running for office for 5 years.

Dominican Republic: 124+ dead in a fire in a night club.

Germany: Finally, a CDU – CSU coalition was announced with Friedrich Merz as Chancellor; it will have 208 seats in the Bundestag, AfD 152, SPD 120, Greens 85, Left 64. 

Golf: Rory McIlroy beat Justin Rose to sin the US Masters (he now won all the majors). 

UK: the Govt took control of British Steel. Liverpool crowned Premier League champions.

Canada: In the general election on 28 April the Liberal Party (with PM Mark Carney) was unexpectedly returned to office, on an anti-Trump wave. Predictions are that the Liberals will end up with 169 seats just short of 172 needed for a majority in the House of Commons. The Conservative Party should get 144 seats, BQ 22, NDP 7, Greens 1. The leaders of the Conservative Party and the NDP both lost their seats. The turnout rate was about 68%.

Pakistan: commenced deportation of undocumented Afghans.

India: Moslem gunmen killed 26+ in Kashmir; bilateral tensions high.

Vatican: Pope Francis died aged 88. Cardinal’s conclave will meet in 7 May to elect the new Pope.

Spain: huge power outages in Spain and Portugal.

Yemen: US has hit about 800 Houthi targets since 15 March in an effort to stop them attacking shipping.

 

Israel – Hamas & Hezbollah

IDF killed 15 UN emergency workers who were in a convoy of ambulances.

The IDF destroyed to the remaining operational hospital in Gaza.

International Court of Justice began hearing case against Israel’s actions as the occupying power of Gaza.

Israeli missiles hit Beirut.

 

Russian invasion of Ukraine

USA expressed impatience with lack of progress in achieving peace in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Putin announced a 3 day ceasefire commencing 8 May (anniversary of Soviet victory over Nazi Germany). Trump said he wants a permanent ceasefire while negotiations take place.

 

USA

 

Another tumultuous month in the USA; 29 April marked 100 days of Trump administration – see overview from MSNBC below.

The Economist reported that Pres Trump averages 4,149 words per week on social media, mainly Truth Social and X.

President Trump called 2 April “Liberation Day”. He announced minimum tariff of 10% on all countries, but 60+ with large trade surpluses with USA got higher tariffs: eg China 34% (then 54%, finally 154%); Vietnam 46%; Taiwan 32%; Japan 24%; India 26%; South Korea 25%; Indonesia 32%, etc. Australia attracted 10%, with uninhabited Heard Island singled out???

Trump claimed that America had been “raped and pillaged” for decades by friends and foes alike.

China reacted by increasing tariffs on imports from the USA by 34% – Trump then raised tariffs on China to a total of 154% (some, apparently as high as 245%) and China raised to 124%. China imposed export controls on rare earths, and cancelled orders of planes and parts from Boeing.

In 2024 USA imports of goods from China totaled $439B (US had a goods trade deficit with China of $295B). eg 90% of Apple phones are made in China - no wonder they are worried.

Wall Street crashed following Trump’s announcements, and bond rates went up.

On 10 April Trump “Paused” the new tariffs for 90 days (except China) while countries started negotiations on new trade deals.

Stock Markets were very volatile because of the uncertainty, and US reliance on so many products from China which are now much more expensive.

On 12 April Trump exempted imports of smart phones, computers, chips, and solar panels from import tariffs above 20%.

Growing anti-Trump movement, demonstrations in many cities. The latest polls show Trump’s support at around 37%, the lowest  approval rating for a President after 100 days in 80 years.

Hotly contested election for the Wisconsin Supreme Court was won by Democrat Susan Crawford despite Elon Musk’s huge financial support ($20M) of the Republican candidate.

Harvard rejected demands by the Trump administration, which responded by freezing $2B in grants and threatened to remove its tax exempt status. Harvard is suing.

President of El Salvador Najib Bukele met Trump in the White House; said he can take more criminals deported from the US.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced 22% cut in Department of State personnel; many domestic and overseas offices/missions will close.

Secretary of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem, had her Gucci handbag (containing $3K cash, etc) stolen in a restaurant; thief was later arrested by the Secret Service.

Elon Musk will reduce his involvement with DOGE to spend more time on Tesla, which is facing a major downturn.

Kobe Bryant’s first jersey for the LA Lakers (No. 8, 1995) sold for $7M (it last sold for $115K in 2012)

 Actor Val Kilmer died aged 65.

The deadline for TikTok to divest was extended (yet again) for 75 days, from 5 April.

 

Australia

Campaigning for the Federal election to be held on 3 May. Early polls indicated a close result, but lately Labor seems to have pulled ahead. Labor holds only 5 of 30 seats in Qld. Will be very interesting to see how the TEALS/independents go this time.

Floods in Western Queensland devastated an area twice the size of Victoria; huge stock losses.

Trial started of Erin Patterson accused of murdering 3 relatives by feeding them poisonous mushrooms.

 

 

 From Politico via The Guardian, 29 April 2025.

 

Here are four sobering, universal truths from Politico to take away about Trump 2.0:

This presidency matters like few before it. In just three months, Trump has torn up the West’s postwar security settlement and its central economic premise. He’s reshaped the federal government and brought some of America’s most powerful institutions to heel. He’s threatening to go much further. And we still have 1,361 days to go.

The speed of change has been breathless. The Trump 2.0 project hit the ground running on Day 1 and has been utterly ruthless in pursuit of its goals. Never before has the “move fast and break things” edict been applied so successfully to American government. Much of this work will not be quickly undone.

Trump is pushing every boundary of what’s possible as a president. He has shown little interest in abiding by constitutional or legal norms. He has successfully shackled one of the three branches of government (the legislature) to his whims, and has the other (the judiciary) under constant attack. His political opponents are in disarray. So how this all ends is anyone’s guess.

But Trump’s power has limits. He has backed down - humiliatingly - in the face of the bond markets. He’s been aggressive and obstructionist with the courts but has walked the line on outright defying them. He’s been reduced to sending Vladimir Putin pleading messages on social media. And he is term-limited.

 

  

100 actions in 100 days: Trump’s second term follows a pattern of going it alone

Trump has signed few laws, preferring instead to sign executive orders and levy tariffs.

 April 29, 2025 By Ryan Teague Beckwith, Newsletter Editor MSNBC

 

President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office have shown just how much he likes to act alone.

While past presidents used their honeymoon period to get signature legislation through Congress, Trump has signed very few bills. Instead, he’s focused on a flurry of executive orders, unilaterally imposed tariffs, and mass firings and spending cuts that Congress did not approve but has, so far, let slide.

Here’s a look at 100 actions taken by Trump, his administration and the GOP-controlled Congress over his first 100 days:

Signing laws

• Signed the Laken Riley Act, which allows federal immigration officers to detain and deport undocumented people who have been charged with crimes, in addition to those who have been convicted.

• Signed three Congressional Review Act resolutions that overturn Biden administration regulations and a stopgap funding bill, for a total of five bills — fewer than any president in the last seven decades by this point.

Implementing tariffs

• Announced tariffs on Mexico and Canada, sparking a consumer-led “Buy Canadian” movement that has hurt U.S. companies.

• Announced various tariffs on China that collectively add up to 145%, sparking a trade war with the country.

• Announced sweeping tariffs on every major U.S. trade partner, ranging from 10% to 54%, to take effect on April 2, which he dubbed “Liberation Day.”

• Included the Heard and McDonald islands, which are uninhabited, on the list of countries getting a tariff.

• Admitted that the formula for the tariffs involved looking at the trade deficit with a country and dividing it by the value of goods the U.S. imports from that nation.

• Saw the S&P 500 lose $5 trillion in value over two of the worst days for the stock market in modern history in response to “Liberation Day.”

• “Paused” the sweeping tariffs on nearly every country for 90 days because bond traders were “getting a little queasy.”

• Posted on social media that it would be a “great time to buy” shortly before announcing the pause, raising questions about insider trading.

• Raised the overall average effective tariff rate from 2.5% to around 27%, the highest for the U.S. since 1903.

Cutting government

• Named billionaire Elon Musk as a “special government employee” in charge of a White House team to cut spending.

• Renamed the U.S. Digital Service, which advised agencies on technical issues, into the U.S. DOGE Service (also known as the Department of Government Efficiency, which is not in fact a government department) after a Musk joke.

• Repeatedly said that DOGE was “headed by” Musk, including in a joint address to Congress.

• Told courts that Musk did not head DOGE — or even work for it — and declined to say who did head it, then later identified a little-known employee as its acting administrator.

• Froze billions of dollars in foreign aid and sought to all but dismantle the U.S. Agency for International Development.

• Attempted mass firings at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which protects consumers from financial fraud.

• Dramatically cut spending and staff at the Department of Education, which Trump has vowed to abolish (though this would require an act of Congress).

• Slashed staff at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration who handle weather forecasts, among other things.

• Used police and private security to enter the U.S. Institute of Peace as part of an effort to take control of the nonprofit and gut it.

• Tried to quickly rehire federal workers on critical issues such as bird flu, nuclear weapons and medical devices.

• Ordered the General Services Administration to begin ending leases on roughly 7,500 federal offices around the country.

• Sent 2 million federal workers an email offering to pay them through September if they resigned.

• Required federal workers to write down five accomplishments each week, then didn’t do much with the emails.

• Rehired a member of Musk’s team who resigned after media resurfaced old social media posts in which he said he was “racist before it was cool.”

• Gave some Republican senators Musk’s phone number so they could call him to get problematic DOGE spending cuts reversed.

• Saw widespread protests at Musk-owned Tesla dealerships, plummeting sales of its cars and a 71% drop in profits.

• Promoted Tesla on the White House lawn and said vandalism against the company will be treated as domestic terrorism.

• Reduced the amount of money expected to be saved by the Musk effort from a goal of $1 trillion to $150 billion.

Deporting noncitizens

• Signed an executive order to make it possible to detain migrants at the U.S. military base in Guantanamo Bay.

• Sent two groups of migrants to Guantanamo Bay and released a photo of migrants being boarded onto a military plane.

• Struck a deal to pay El Salvador $6 million to imprison deportees at its notorious CECOT megaprison.

• Invoked the 18th-century Alien Enemies Act, last used to incarcerate Japanese Americans during World War II, to begin deporting people the administration alleges are gang members.

• Sent three planes with more than 200 migrants to El Salvador despite a federal judge’s orders not to deport anyone under the act until his court had held a hearing on the issue.

• Lost two appeals of the continued block on deportations before the Supreme Court, including one released at 12:55 a.m.

• Conceded in a court filing that Maryland resident Kilmar Abrego Garcia was among those deported due to “an administrative error.”

• Fired the Justice Department lawyer who signed that court filing and had been praised by the judge for his candor.

• Appealed a judge’s order to have Abrego Garcia returned from El Salvador, then lost in a unanimous Supreme Court decision.

• Said Abrego Garcia’s return is up to El Salvador, even as President Nayib Bukele claimed he doesn’t “have the power to return him.”

• Detained Columbia University grad student Mahmoud Khalil over his pro-Palestinian activism.

• Detained Tufts University grad student Rümeysa Öztürk, a Turkish citizen, over an editorial she co-authored in the student newspaper.

• Deported a 10-year-old U.S. citizen recovering from brain cancer after detaining her family on their way to a medical checkup.

• Sent two U.S. citizens, including a four-year-old boy with Stage 4 cancer, on a deportation flight to Honduras with their mother.

• Detained 19-year-old U.S. citizen Jose Hermosillo for 10 days over a disputed claim that he had entered the country illegally.

• Said that the administration can’t give everyone it wants to deport a trial because that would take “without exaggeration, 200 years.”

Firing officials

• Fired the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and two other top military officials late on a Friday in an unusual move.

• Fired the two Democratic commissioners on the Federal Trade Commission in what appeared to be a violation of a 1935 Supreme Court decision.

• Won an emergency appeal to the Supreme Court to stop a lower court ruling that restored the two FTC commissioners to their jobs while their case proceeds.

• Fired the director of the National Security Agency and other top national security officials after a meeting with far-right activist Laura Loomer.

• Fired a pardon attorney who said she believes she was ousted because she refused to restore Mel Gibson’s right to carry a gun.

• Moved to fire the Democratic chairwoman of the Federal Election Commission, who said her firing was invalid and refused to step down.

• Threatened to oust Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, leading to a spike in gold prices and a slide in the dollar.

• Signed a sweeping executive order to try to bring independent agencies under White House control based on a fringe legal theory.

Targeting law firms

• Stripped security clearances from the law firm Covington & Burling for its work with former special counsel Jack Smith.

• Stripped security clearances from Paul Weiss for hiring a lawyer who worked on the Manhattan district attorney’s case against Trump.

• Stripped security clearances from Perkins Coie for its ties to the Steele dossier during the 2016 election.

• Stripped security clearances from WilmerHale for hiring Robert Mueller and a top aide.

• Stripped security clearances from Jenner & Block for hiring a lawyer who worked on the Mueller investigation.

• Stripped security clearances from Susman Godfrey, which represented a voting machine company that sued Fox News.

• Faced lawsuits from four of the law firms over the suspension of their security clearances.

• Announced deals with nine law firms to avoid similar sanctions in exchange for providing nearly $1 billion worth of pro bono legal services to the administration.

Targeting universities

• Canceled $400 million of funding to Columbia University unless it overhauled admissions and ceded control of several academic departments.

• Has not, to date, restored funding to Columbia, despite the university agreeing to nearly all of the demands.

• Canceled $2.2 billion to Harvard University to punish it for refusing to comply with a similar list of demands.

• Suspended $175 million in funding to the University of Pennsylvania for allowing a transgender swimmer to compete.

• Notified Brown, Cornell, Northwestern and Princeton of cuts or potential cuts to hundreds of millions in funding.

• Faced a lawsuit from Harvard that argued the frozen grants violate the college’s First Amendment rights.

• Was criticized in a letter signed by 150 university and college presidents for attempting to use funding to influence their policies.

Targeting the media

• Put 1,300 staffers at the Voice of America on paid leave amid plans to shutter the news agency, which was set up during World War II.

• Barred The Associated Press indefinitely from the Oval Office and Air Force One for continuing to use the name “Gulf of Mexico” to refer to the Gulf of Mexico.

• Posted on the Federal Communications Commission website raw footage and transcripts of the CBS interview with Kamala Harris over which Trump sued.

• Opened an investigation into San Francisco radio station KCBS for its coverage of immigration enforcement actions.

• Took control of a White House press pool that has been run independently by journalists for more than a century.

• Briefly allowed a Russian state media reporter into the Oval Office to cover a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

• Invited far-right podcaster Tim Pool, who has allegedly received money from Russia, to a White House press conference.

• Argued in a speech to the Department of Justice that reporting by independent news outlets is biased and should be “illegal.”

Issuing pardons

• Granted sweeping pardons and commutations to more than 1,500 people charged in connection with the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.

• Broadened Jan. 6 pardons to include charges that stemmed from police searches while investigating those cases.

• Supported restitution payments for Jan. 6 defendants whose convictions were wiped out.

• Launched a review of federal prosecutors’ use of an obstruction of justice charge against some Jan. 6 defendants that the Supreme Court said was used too broadly.

• Claimed that pardons of House Jan. 6 committee members and some others by then-President Joe Biden were now “void.”

• Pardoned former Nikola Corp. CEO Trevor Milton of federal crimes related to defrauding investors, after he made significant political donations to Trump and his allies.

• Pardoned the four founders of cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX and the corporation itself of money laundering charges.

• Granted clemency to Jason Galanis and Devon Archer, who had given unfavorable testimony about Hunter Biden.

Changing public health policy with RFK Jr.

• Announced a plan to give the food industry two years to phase out all artificial dyes.

• Said (by Health and Human Services Secretary Robert Kennedy Jr.) at a press conference that people with autism will “never hold a job” or “go out on a date.”

• Began amassing private medical records of people with autism from government and private sources.

• Claimed, without evidence, that getting a “wild infection” of measles boosts the immune system, in an interview with Kennedy.

• Cut thousands of scientists and public health staffers amid a dramatic restructuring of the Department of Health and Human Services.

• Was criticized for inconsistent messaging about vaccines in interviews and public appearances.

• Promoted Steak ‘n Shake beef tallow-cooked fries in an interview with Kennedy.

And finally...

• Accidentally added a journalist to a group chat of top officials on Signal discussing war plans in Yemen. (National security adviser Mike Waltz.)

• Criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to his face in a shockingly contentious White House meeting.

• Sent Vice President JD Vance to Greenland, where he argued that Denmark has not “done a good job.”

• Loosened restrictions on water flow for showerheads after Trump complained they make it hard to wash his “beautiful hair.”

• Said the U.S. should “take over the Gaza Strip,” perhaps through military action, and redevelop it as the “riviera of the Middle East.”

• Blamed, without evidence, Federal Aviation Administration efforts to hire a more diverse staff for an air crash near Washington, D.C.

• Proposed a “gold card” visa that would allow people to become lawful permanent residents for $5 million.

• Posted an illustration of Trump wearing a crown on social media with the words “LONG LIVE THE KING!”

• Repeatedly floated the idea of running for an unconstitutional third presidential term in 2028.

 

......


INTERNATIONAL TRADE

My 30 year career as an Australian Trade Commissioner gave me an interest in matters related to international trade.  I subscribe to Bloomberg's excellent daily newsletter "Supply Lines".  

Here are some of the interesting graphs in the Bloomberg newsletter during April 2025; they are self-explanatory.

Bloomberg has indicated that this newsletter would only be available to paid subscribers (US$299 pa) from 10 May 2025. When free access stops I will, regretably, no longer include this section in my blog. Pity, as it's been an excellent source of information on international trade develpoments. 

In the meantime, herewith the latest (and probably the last) offering, for April 2025.









































......



We have really noticed the change of seasons this month - cooler evenings, shorter days.

We have Trivia on Monday nights in the Clubhouse - people take it in turns to prepare 60 questions. I volunteered to be the quiz master on 7 April. It was a bit of a disaster - the questions were too difficult. The following is a sample of some of the easier questions - how would you have done???

Sample Questions for Halcyon Nirimba Trivia, 7pm on Monday 7 April 2025

 

 

Question

Answer

 

 

 

 

Who is the Canadian Prime Minister?

 

Mark Carney.

 

When was the first iPhone introduced?

 

2007.

 

 

Which SE Asian country was the first to legalise same sex marriage recently?

 

Thailand

 

Who is the current Prime Minister of NZ?

 

Christopher Luxon.

 

Victoria is larger in area than New Zealand – True or False?

 

False. NZ 263,000 sq km; Victoria 227,000 sq km..

 

 

What is the current population of Singapore? 5 – 6 – 7M?


6M.

 

Singapore is bigger in area than the Sunshine Coast Regional Council: True or False?

False. Singapore 750 sqkm; Sunshine Coast Regional Council 3,126 sq km.

 

What is the estimated population of Indonesia?  250 – 260 – 270 – 280M?

 

280 million

 

How far is Taiwan from the Chinese mainland? 100. 130, 160, 190 km?

 

130km.

 

T/F Taiwan is larger in area than Tasmania. True or False?

 

False. Taiwan 36K sq km; Tassie 68K sq km.

 

 

 

 

What is the cost of an adult 10 year validity Australian passport?

 

$412 (allegedly the most expensive in the world).

 

More Aussies died in WW2 than in WW1: True or False?

 

False. (WW2 39,657  WW1  61,678)

 

When was the current Parliament House opened in Canberra?

1988

 

In the last Parliament, how many seats were there in the Australian House of Representatives? How many in the Senate? (one point each = 2)

 

HoR 151.

Senate 76.

 

Which is Peter Dutton’s electorate? When did he enter Parliament? How old is he?

 

Dickson (northern suburbs of Brisbane). 2001. 54 years.

 

 

Out of the total of 93 seats in the current Qld State Parliament, how many are held by the LNP? 

 

52

 

Qld has won more State of Origin series than NSW. True or False?

 

True: Qld 24, NSW 17.

 

Who played most State of Origin games for Qld?

 

Cameron Smith (with 42).

 

In which year did Cliff Young win the first Sydney to Melbourne ultramarathon? How old was he then? How far was the race?

 

1983.

61 years old.

875km.

 

How many Justices are there on the Australian High Court? What is the mandatory retirement age for Justices of the Australian High Court?   (one point each = 2)

 

Seven .

70 years.

 

In which year was Google Maps launched?

Google Maps was launched in 2005.

 

 

Who is the most successful Olympian ever? 

 

American swimmer Michael Phelps has 28 medals.

 

 

Who is Australia’s most successful Olympian?

 

Swimmer Emma McKeon has 14 Olympic medals.

 

 

In which year was the Soviet Union dissolved/ceased to exist?

1991.

 

What is the length of the earth’s circumference (measured around the equator)?

 

40, 075 km (equator)

 




That's it for this post.

Stay happy and healthy and keep smiling!

Vera & Alex Olah
Caloundra, Queensland
Wednesday 30 April 2025