Sunday, 31 July 2022

Post #255 31 July 2022

 Gentlefolk,


This post describes some of our activities during the month of July 2022.


The contents of this post are in the following sequence:

Photos of our activities during July 2022.

Book; Movies.

Some news items which caught my eye in July 2022.

Statistics from 2021 Australian Census.

International Trade.

A tale of two sportsmen: Nick Kyrgios (tennis) and Cameron Smith (golf).


First, some photos of our activities during July 2022.



Friends came to watch the Wallabies v England games: Andrew Moorhead, Paul Nicoll and Noel Cock. We were excited when the Wallabies won the first Test 30-28, but then we lost the Second Test 17-25, and the Third Test 17-21. We still need a lot of improvement before next year's World Cup, that's for sure.
At the same time Ireland was in New Zealand, and ended up beating the All Blacks at home! Amazing. 


There was a "Xmas in July" fair.


Andrew, Caroline, Eddie and Jay came to Canberra for the annual Kanga Cup Youth Soccer tournament which is held in Canberra in July every year. The Kanga Cup started in Sydney in 1991, but it has been held in Canberra since 1993. The last 2 years were cancelled because of Covid. Pre-Covid over 300 teams competed, with some coming from overseas (S. Korea, Japan, The Philippines, Singapore, etc). Teams start at Under 9s and go up to Under 18s.



This year 244 teams participated, about half from Canberra and the others from all over Australia.


Eddie plays for Easts Football Club in Sydney which basically covers the Eastern Suburbs. It is a big club and they had several teams here.

Eddie and Jay with one of the mascots.



Eddie's Easts Under 8 team. 


Eddie got the Parent's Best Player Award. Proud moment!




Eddie's team played against Under 9s and that one-year difference was telling. They were beaten 4 games, but won their 5th game so they ended on a high. There were 6 venues around Canberra - Eddie's team played at Hawker Football Centre. The first two days were bitterly cold (the kids didn't seem to feel the cold, but the parents sure did); then the wind eased and it wasn't too bad. 
The tournament was a very good bonding exercise for the players.



One night we took the kids to "Skating in the City" which they enjoyed.


Marshmellows after skating - fun and yummy.


One night we ate at Eastlakes Football Club, and won a meat tray!



Andrew booked the kids in for skiing lessons at Corin Forest, about an hour's drive from Canberra. Here is Jay getting fitted out.



Corin Forest is about 1,000 m above sea level, and they make artificial snow. limited facilities, but in a 2 hour session kids can get the basic idea of skiing or snow-boarding. It was a lovely, clear, sunny winter's day. Reminded me of when we used to drive up to the snowfields to go skiing, about 50 years ago!  



Photo on our balcony when they were getting ready to drive back to Sydney. It was an enjoyable week and memorable for the kids. 


Our good friend Brian Venables passed away. Brian and Joy (dec) were main-stays of the Canberra Old Time Dance Club, which we joined when we came to Canberra in 1996. Apart from being lovely peole, they were wonderful dance teachers.  Their daughter Diane moved to Canberra 5 years ago to care for Brian when Joy died. Diane is also a talented dance teacher and is taking over her parent's former role.
RIP Brian, a true gentleman.




Leo Joseph plays "blues piano" at Smith's Alternative Cafe and we enjoy his performances. Here he is doing a duet with Matt, another accomplished pianist. 



Michael and Peter Kramer stayed with us a couple of nights. Michael is active in the Austraila Indonesia Association (Sydney Branch) and was promoting AIA publications.


One night we had dinner at the Harmonie German Club and showed Michael and Peter the piece of the infamous "Berlin Wall" which has pride-of-place in front of the Club.



The National Portrait Gallery displayed 84 portraits borrowed from London's National Portrait Gallery (the world's first and still largest Portrait Gallery, founded in 1856). All the paintings were special but my favorites were: Henry James (author, 1843-1916) by John Singer Sargent; Arthur Wellesley (aka Duke of Wellington 1769-1832) unfinished painting by Sir Thomas Lawrence; and Thomas Howard 14th Earl of Arundel (1585-1646) by Sir Peter Paul Rubens.
It was a wonderful exhibition. I am truly in awe of such talented portrait painters!




I attended this book launch at the ANU on 20 July 2022. The book contains 22 essays by 33 authors. 


I attended the book launch at the ANU. Three of the contributing authors were on a panel: Carolyn Holbrook, Joan Beaumont, and Frank Bongiorno.  Do we actually learn from history? According to the panelists there is no easy answer. In fact, most seemed to think that often wrong versions of history become accepted - leaders will interpret history according to their own requirements / beliefs. I guess President Trump is the classic recent example; he believed that many generally-accepted truisms were in fact "fake news".  So what is the real truth? Who decides, and when?



We attended "The Chief Minister's Annual Seniors Concert" at the Albert Hall. Lovely venue and good music.  Coffee afterwards with Sue and Frank at Bookplate Cafe.



On Sunday 24 July I played golf with the Southern Cross Club Golfers Group at Gungahlin Lakes Golf Course. Partnered Laurie (Jock) Coulter and Bruce White. It was a beautiful winter's day: about 15C, sunshine and no wind. We played in T-shirts.
It was "Irish format" where our second shots were from the best drive. Good fun. I scored 30 points, which was not great but OK.
The Course was in great shape; it was a thoroughly enjoyable afternoon. 




On 29 July we attended a book launch at the ANU; Alex Sloan interviewed the author Dr Norman Swan. The only other time I've seen so many people at a book launch was for Kevin Rudd.


Dr Swan's latest book. He became very well known over the last 2.5 years as the ABC's main commentator on the Covid pandemic. He is an expert communicator and was able to explain the pandemic as it took hold.
His new book provides advice on the latest medical information on what's good and what's bad for us.


Many people bought Dr Swan's book, which he signed. We bought copies for Jennifer and Andrew.



Price of fuel at Costco on 29 July. It's the first time in several months that petrol and diesel are under $2/litre.






...


Book




I'm a big fan of Professor Hugh White and his sensible and pragmatic commentary/analysis of strategic issues facing Australia. He is very knowledgeable about modern China. 
Prof White's basic premise is that Australia should not blindly follow the USA  - we need to be much more conscious of our own national interests (which may not coincide with America's). 



...



Movies

We saw two movies in July: Elvis and "Phantom of the Open".


We saw "Elvis", a movie about Elvis Presley. The movie was made in Australia. An impressive production, with wonderful acting by Austin Butler as a young Elvis and Tom Hanks as his legendary manager Colonel Tom Parker (an amazing performance). 





The story of crane driver Maurice Flitcroft who played in the British Open under 'false pretences', much to the chagrin of the golfing establishment. Mark Rylance and Sally Hawkins were brilliant as Maurice and his wife. 



...


News items which caught my eye during July 2022.

 

Global

 

Heatwave in parts of Europe (England, Portugal, Spain, France); many wildfires (also in California).

UN Human Rights Council estimated 307K civilian deaths in Syrian civil war during decade 2011-2021.

Number of pubs in England and Wales fell by 7K in last ten years, to 40K.

Germany had a monthly trade deficit in May, first since 1991.

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson resigned, but will continue as Caretaker PM until the Conservative Party elects a new leader; last two candidates: Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak.

Former PM of Japan, Shinzo Abe, killed by assassin.

The Euro and US$ on parity (Euro has fallen 12% in 2022).

Faroe Islands set a limit of 500 dolphin kills in annual whale hunt.

President of Sri Lanka Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled in a military plane; resigned.

President Biden visited Israel and Saudi Arabia.

Latest inflation rates: USA 9.1%; Turkey 54%; Sri Lanka 55%; Brazil 10%; Argentina 15%; Russia 14%; Greece 12%; Italy 7%; Euro Zone 8.6%.

European Central Bank raised interest rates 0.5% to zero; first increase in 11 years.

WHO declared Monkeypox a “global health emergency”, as cases rise to over 16,000 in 3 months in 70 countries.

Kyrgios lost Wimbledon Men’s Final to Djokovic. Rybakina beat Jabour to win the Women’s Final.

Jonas Vingegaard (Denmark) won the 2022 Tour de France which had 21 stages over 3,328 km.

Pope Francis visited Canada and apologized for role of Catholic institutions in historical abuse of indigenous children.

The 22nd Commonwealth Games held in Birmingham, UK from 28 July – 8 August. 5,000 athletes from 72 countries will compete in 19 sports. I wonder how relevant the Commonwealth is these days???

EU (except Hungary) agreed to reduce use of Russian gas by 15%. Gas through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline was cut to about 20% of capacity (Russia blames maintenance, but others believe it is strategy). Wholesale gas price rose to Euro 204 per MW hour. Growing concern about gas for heating in coming winter.

Poland announced large purchase of military equipment from South Korea: 980 K2 tanks, 648 K9 howitzers, 48 FA50 fighter jets (replacing equipment provided to Ukraine)..

 

Russian invasion of Ukraine

Russia and Ukraine signed agreement (brokered by EU and Turkey) to allow grain exports from Ukrainian ports.

President Zelensky continued his impressive PR work, attracting support around the world.

US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken had discussion with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

 

USA

 

House of Reps Select Committee continued hearings related to the January 6 2021 Capitol riot/insurrection.

US Supreme Court limited power of federal EPA power to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; Ketanji Brown Jackson sworn in a first black woman on the Supreme Court.

Jerry Hall (66) filed for divorce from Rupert Murdoch (91).

Mass shooting near Chicago on 5 July, 6 dead many injured (308th mass shooting this year).

Twitter will take Elon Musk to court over his decision not to proceed with takeover of Twitter (Twitter shares have fallen in recent months, with global downturn of share markets).

USA inflation rate 9.1% in 12 months to June 2022; Federal Reserve increased interest rates by another 0.75% (to 2.25%). Preliminary estimates of US GDP growth were -1.6% in Q1 and -0.9% in Q2. Two quarters of negative growth usually means an economy is in recession, but the US has a different definition. Commentators are pointing to slowing housing and business investment but unemployment remains low at 3.6%.

Apple, Amazon and Hershey reported increased revenue in Q2 2022, but Meta (Facebook & Instagram) declined.

President Biden (79) tested positive for Covid; good recovery; but on 31 July he was reported to have tested positive again ("rebound infection").

 

Australia

More major flooding in coastal parts of Queensland and NSW.

Total cumulative Covid deaths passed 10,000 (today 11,660).

PM Albanese attended NATO meeting and then visited Kyiv Ukraine.

Reserve Bank raised interest rates 0.5% to 1.35%. Annual inflation rate in 12 months to June 6.1%. Australia’s unemployment rate fell from 3.9% to 3.5%.

The Australian (Penny Wong) and Chinese (Wang Yi) Foreign Ministers met on the sidelines of the G20 Meeting in Bali.

The Federal Govt dropped the case against lawyer Bernard Collaery.

PM Albanese and FM Wong attended the Pacific Island Forum in Fiji.

Life expectancy of Indigenous in Northern Territory rose in last 20 years, men from 57 to 66 years, women from 65 to 70 years.

Big mining company Rio Tinto paid A$1 billion in back taxes to Australian Taxation Office. Rio Tinto used ‘transfer pricing’ to lower earnings in Australia; BHP, Google, Apple, Microsoft also under investigation for similar strategies.

New Parliament met on 26 July following the election in May. It is the 47th Parliament since Federation in 1901. Milton Dick was elected Speaker of the House of Representatives. Anthony Albanese is the leader of the Parliamentary Labor Party and Prime Minister; Peter Dutton is leader of the Liberal Party and leader of the Opposition. There are 16 members of minor parties and independents - a major change from the last parliament.

Caroline Kennedy, daughter of JFK, took up her post as US Ambassador to Australia (has been vacant 18 months).

After 37 years (started 1985), final episode of Neighbours screened on 28 July.

Controversy: Manly Rugby League club (the Sea Eagles) produced a "Pride" jersey featuring the rainbow, but 7 players (all of Pacific Islander background) refused to wear it for religious/cultural reasons. Over 50% of top Rugby League players are of Pacific Island background - they are often devout Christians. 

Covid still a problem in Australia: as at 31 July the number of new cases were around 40K per day; in hospital 5,448 (of which 161 were in Intensive Care); total deaths of persons with 11,660 (an estimated 88% of persons with Covid died from Covid).

 

China

Another large Chinese property developer, Shanghai based Shimao Group, defaulted. Property prices in China down 40% this year.

Mass testing in Shanghai as cases of Covid increase; also in Wuhan.

China upset at proposed visit to Taiwan by Nancy Pelosi (Speaker of HoR).

On 29 July Presidents Xi and Biden had a long phone conversation. 

 

 

...


Australia by numbers: the 2021 Australian Census

The Australian Bureau of Statistics conducts a national census every 5 years. The latest census was conducted on 10 August 2021, and first results were released in June 2022.

Figures have been rounded. Totals may not reach 100%.

Key points of National Snapshot

Australia's population doubled in the last 50 years; 29% were born overseas. 

3.2% self-identified as Indigenous (Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander). 

44% said they were Christians, 12% follow other religions, 39% said they had no religious affiliation.

Source: https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/people-and-communities/snapshot-australia/2021 accessed 17 July 2022.

2021 Census: National Snapshot

 

2021 Census

 

Population

 

Total national:

Males 49%, Females 51%.

State populations: NSW 8m; Vic 6.5; Qld 5.2; SA 1.8m; WA 2.7m; Tas 0.56m; ACT 0.46m; NT 0.23m.

67% live in Capital cities of which the largest are Sydney 5.2m; Melbourne 4.9m; Brisbane 2.5m.

 

25.4 million

(1971 figure was 12.5m).

Self-Identified as Indigenous, total:

An increase of 25% over 2017 census.

Two-thirds of indigenous live in NSW and Qld.

40% live in urban areas (cf 71% of total pop), 45% live in regional areas (cf 26%), 15% live in remote areas (cf 2%).

77,000 speak one of 167 native languages at home.

 

812,728                (3.2% of national pop total).

29% were born overseas (1st generation); 22% had one or both parents born overseas (2nd generation).

Countries of birth: England 1m; India 0.7m; China 0.6m; NZ 0.6m; Philippines 0.3m; Vietnam 0.3m; South Africa 0.2m; Malaysia 0.2m; Italy 0.2m; Germany 0.1m.

 

 

Population by generations:

Interwar (75+ years) 8%; Baby Boomers (55-74) 22%; Gen X (45-54) 19%; Millennials (25-39) 22%; Gen Z (10-24) 18%; Alpha (0-9) 12%.

 

 

Religion

 

Affiliated with a Christian church:

(Catholic 20%, Anglican 10%).

 

Other religions: Hindu 3%; Islam 3%; Buddhist 2%.

7.5% of population said they attend church at least weekly.

 

No religious affiliation:

 

 

Christianity 44%

(1971 figure was 84%)

 

Total of Other 12%

 

 

No religion 39%

(1971 figure was 10%)

Language

 

Only speak English at home:

Other languages at home: Mandarin 685K; Arabic 367K; Vietnamese 321K; Cantonese 295K.

 

72%

Families

 

There are 5.6m couples of which 53% have children living with them; 16% (1.1m) are one-parent families.

There have been 25,000 same sex marriages.

 

 

Housing

 

70% live in separate houses, 13% live in townhouses, and 16% live in apartments.

31% of Households rent; 31% of homes are fully owned; 35% are buying with mortgages.

 

 

Defence personnel

 

84,865 are currently serving in the Australian defence Force (79% male, 21% female).

 

 

 

The changing face of Canberra as revealed in the 2021 Census

The 18th national census was held on 10 August 2021; the ABS released first results in June 2022.

These are figures for the Australian Capital Territory (ACT), of which Canberra is the main population centre. Figures are providedfor 1971 and 2021 (50 years apart) to show changes.

Figures have been rounded. Totals may not total 100%.

Source: https://www.abs.gov.au/articles/snapshot-act-2021 accessed 17 July 2022.

2021 Census: ACT snapshot

 

1971 Census

 

2021 Census

Total population of ACT

 

137,000

454,000

Median age

 

23 years

35 years

Persons who identify as indigenous

 

9,000 (2% of pop)

 

Percentage born overseas

(Top countries of birth in 2021: Australia 68%, India 4%, England 3%, China 3%).

 

25%

29%

Only English spoken at home

(Other languages: Mandarin 3%, Nepali 1%, Vietnamese 1%, Punjabi 1%).

 

 

71%

Affiliated with Christian churches

(Other religions: Hinduism 5%, Islam 3%, Buddhist 3%).

 

84%

38%

No religious affiliation

 

10%

44%

Median weekly income

 

Individual $1,203

Family $2,870

 

Average number of people in Household

 

3.6

2.5

Composition of Households

Of family HH, 53% have children, 14% are one-parent.

 

70% family HH; 26% lone HH;    4% group HH.


 

Occupied private dwellings

38,000

175,000

63% houses;   18% townhouses; 19% apartments.

 

Dwellings ownership

 

27% fully own;

40% mortgage;

31% rent.

 

 

...


Contrasting tale of two Aussies

Nick Kyrgios (tennis)

Nick was beaten in the Wimbledon Mens Single by Novak Djokovic 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6. He played brilliantly to win the first set, but then started to unravel as he often does.  Nick is a great talent, but seems unstable. 

He reached a World Ranking of #13 in 2016, but then went downhill. His on-court behaviour was often so embarrassing (ranting, swearing, racquet smashing, arguing with fans and umpires, etc) that most Aussies disowned him. Apparently he is the-most-fined tennis player ever, not a record to be proud of.

Nick was born in Canberra on 27 April 1995, and grew up here.  His father is of Greek heritage, and his mother of Malaysian heritage. He grew up in Canberra, went to Radford College and then Daramalan College.

Will reaching a Grand Slam final change Nick? I hope so, but I doubt it. You need discipline and determination to play at the top level of any sport, and he seems to lack these attributes. Time will tell.


Cameron Smith (golf)



On 17 July 2022 Cameron Smith (27) won the British Open played at St Andrews, Scotland,  the fabled home of golf. His four rounds were: 67 - 64 - 73 - 64, for a total of 268, 20 below par (one better than Tiger Woods record set in 2000). The winner got $2.5m. 

Smith had an amazing final nine holes: 5 consecutive birdies and another on the 18th to set up the win. Greg Norman was the last Aussie to win "The Claret Jug" in 1993.  

Cameron has an unusual but distinctive "mullet" haircut.

Congrats Cam, you are an Aussie hero!




...


INTERNATIONAL TRADE

My 30 year career as an Australian Trade Commissioner gave me an interest in matters related to international trade.  I subscribe to Bloomberg's excellent daily newsletter "Supply Lines - tracking Covid-19's impact on trade" (former title 'Trade Matters').  

Here are some of the more interesting graphs in the Bloomberg newsletter during July 2022; they are largely self-explanatory.































...


Family



Peter Carey's 70th birthday. Our favourite brother-in-law. Welcome to free public transport travel, Pete!


Etu and Waza with "Max" in Rarotonga.


...

That's it for this post.

News just to hand that Ash Barty married her long-time boyfriend Garry Kissick in a private wedding in Queensland. 





Ash won 3 tennis Grand Slams: French Open 2020, Wimbledon 2021, Aussie 2022. She retired from professional tennis in March 2022 while ranked World #1. We wish them well!!



The mid-winter soltice was 5 weeks ago and the days are getting longer again. Many trees seem to have buds already -  could we be in for an early spring? Shouldn't talk too soon, last night's minimum was minus 6C.

Vera is booked in for a colonoscopy tomorrow - a regular checkup - hope good result.

Best wishes, stay healthy and keep smiling.

Vera & Alex Olah
Canberra, Australia
Sunday 31 July 2022